Election Predictions

There are several different ways to predict the next President; the height factor, the 7-Election, and Halloween masks.

Statistics have shown that the taller candidate of the two is more likely to win.  In the past, since 1896, the taller candidates have won 19 times and lost eight in the presidential elections.  Just lettin you all know... Obama is 6 feet 1 inch tall and Romney is 6-foot-2.  We all know who's going to win the election!

Another nifty way of predicting who will be president is the color of coffee cups sold at 7-Eleven gas stations.  Those supporting Obama would buy blue cups (for the democrat colors) and those supporting Romney would get the red cups (the republican colors).  This technique has accurately predicted which candidate would become elected every year since 2000.  So far, the customers have blue cups 59 percent of the time and red cups 41 percent, according to 7-Eleven.  So hey guys, Obama's gonna win fo sho.

One last theory deals with Obama and Romney and their VPs look-alike Halloween masks.  Since 2000, the mask vote has also correctly identified who will be elected president.  So guess who has gotten more sales?  Obama and Joe Biden have been chosen by 52 percent of customers to 48 percent for Romney and Paul Ryan.  Uh oh guys, I think Obama's got this one in the bag.

Gay Marriage

Recently, my older sister, who is now in college, told me about her experience watching the Presidential Debates with her friends.  She has a lot of gay friends that are all for gay marriage, so whenever Romney would mention non-gay marriage opinions, whether in the debates or not, things would go crazy.  None of them are planning on voting for Romney now solely based on his opinions of gay marriage and how marriage should just be defined as between a man and a woman.  This just stuck out at me because of how one differing viewpoint can have a large affect on other people -- especially if that subject really means something to them personally.  Also, They made fun of him during the debates for saying that he wanted to hire more woman and that he had a whole binder full of women

A lot of young people support Obama -- this may be in part because even though they're old enough to vote, like my sister who is 22, they aren't really affected by Obama's policies because she's still being supported by her parents.  She's not worried about ObamaCare because all she knows is that she has health insurance.  Even though she says she supports Obama, she mentioned that she might not even vote.

Candy Crowley as Moderator

       After just watching the presidential debates tonight, I found an article pertaining to Candy Crowley as moderator. She is the first woman in twenty years to moderate a presidential debate. When interviewed, Crowley said, "My first thought was, 'What an incredible opportunity.' Being a female did not cross my mind. ... But I will love it if young women come away from the debate thinking, 'I can do anything.'"

       However, "both the Obama and Romney campaigns have complained to the Commission on Presidential Debates about CNN's Candy Crowley" according to Jack Mirkinson of the Huffington Post. My initial reaction was, "Oh, it must be because she's a woman blah blah sexist blah blah" but that wasn't the case. It was because Crowley "publicly said that she intends to play an active role in the debate, rather than just let the audience at the town hall ask questions." Crowley was later called out by Time's Mark Halperin, saying that her role in the debate would be limited and not a leading role.

       As I was personally watching the debates tonight, I feel like she did as much as an "active" moderator could have done. She was there to keep the order, keep things smooth, and to guide the candidates to other topics. But I really wasn't seeing much of that "active role" of hers going on. If I rematches the debates and looked and actually payed closer attention to her role in the program, I'd be able to spot out the times where she tried to become a participant. The only instances that stuck out at me was when she would try to interrupt the candidates and everyone would scream over each other. But overall I feel like she kept to a dim position but did her job well -- versus the first moderator who just did not know how to moderate.

Political Campaign Scam

I was watching 2020 the other day and learned about Donald Peltier, just your average Joe, and how he took advantage of people wanting to support their favorite candidates by creating political websites for both Mitt Romney and Barack Obama.  When people thought they were donating money to the political campaign, their money was actually going straight into his pocket.  Peltier had been working as a driver for Fuel Services Inc. of South Hadley, but as soon as the news about him was televised, he was fired.  Yay!  With the internet, it's so easy to fool people that you have to be careful before checking stuff out first before y'know sending a thousand bucks to some fake political candidate.  The websites he created actually looked like the "real deal" -- he appealed to the public's peripheral views rather than persuading them by logical ways.  As of yet, the Federal Election Commission hasn't made any action towards charging Peltier since they are unsure of what legal issues are involved without a complaint having been filed first.  Even if all of the people who donated had their money returned to them, it would be less likely for them to try and donate to the right website anyway.  They'd be too skeptical and wouldn't want to risk their chances of losing their money again!